50

PROP

Prairie Operating ($PROP) Executives Return as Aggressive Buyers After 70% Stock Plunge Following 2024 Sell-Off

06/11/2025 23:16

Sentiment

Cluster Buy

C-Level

Summary

  • Prairie Operating Co ($PROP) executives shifted from collective selling in June 2024 to aggressive buying in May-June 2025, signaling potential stock turnaround
  • Director Jonathan Gray's $493K purchase led a wave of insider buying by CEO, CFO and other key executives, demonstrating strong conviction in company prospects
  • Company secured $600M DJ Basin asset acquisition and $1B credit facility for expansion, but stock remains near lows after 70% decline from 2024 peaks

POSITIVE

  • Massive insider buying led by director Jonathan Gray's $493K purchase demonstrates strong management confidence in company turnaround
  • Strategic $600M DJ Basin asset acquisition and secured $1B credit facility provide solid foundation for production growth and expansion
  • Current stock price near 70% decline from 2024 highs presents potential bottom-fishing opportunity for value investors
  • DJ Basin operations benefit from technological advances and improving production economics in premier U.S. shale region
  • CEO's symbolic repurchase at one-third of previous selling price signals management's strong conviction in recovery prospects

NEGATIVE

  • Stock has declined approximately 70% since June 2024, reflecting sustained downward pressure and investor skepticism
  • Equity raises for asset acquisition have resulted in significant share dilution affecting existing shareholder value
  • Increased debt burden from $600M acquisition financing raises concerns about leverage and financial flexibility
  • Energy sector headwinds including oil price volatility and rising shale production costs present ongoing challenges
  • Small-cap characteristics expose stock to higher volatility and liquidity risks during market stress periods

Expert

From an energy sector perspective, Prairie Operating's recent insider buying pattern represents a highly positive signal. The DJ Basin is one of the most economically viable shale oil production regions in the U.S., and the large-scale asset acquisition enables achieving economies of scale. The secured $1 billion credit facility provides substantial financial capacity for future development and additional acquisitions, while consecutive management purchases suggest current share prices are undervalued relative to intrinsic value.

Previous Closing Price

$3.98

+0.03(0.76%)

Average Insider Trading Data Over the Past Year

$3.75

Purchase Average Price

$10.89

Sale Average Price

$700.82K

Purchase Amount

$1.04M

Sale Amount

Transaction related to News

Trading Date

Filing Date

Insider

Title

Type

Avg. Price

Trans. Value

06/13/2025

06/13/2025

Sale

$

Houston-based oil and gas producer Prairie Operating Co ($PROP) is witnessing a remarkable shift in insider trading patterns that could signal a potential turnaround for the embattled energy stock. After plummeting nearly 70% following executive sell-offs in June 2024, the company has seen an aggressive wave of insider buying in recent months, drawing investor attention to what may be a bottom-fishing opportunity. Prairie Operating specializes in oil and gas exploration and production, primarily focused on shale oil and natural gas development in the Denver-Julesburg (DJ) Basin. As a small-cap energy company with a market capitalization of approximately $116 million, Prairie has been pursuing an aggressive growth strategy through large-scale asset acquisitions to expand its operational footprint in one of America's most productive shale regions. The most striking development has been the dramatic reversal in insider trading behavior. In June 2024, key executives including CEO Bryan Freeman, CFO Robert Craig Owen, and officer Daniel Sweeney engaged in coordinated selling activity when shares were trading in the $10-13 range. CFO Owen alone disposed of over $710,000 worth of stock during that month, representing the largest single-executive selling activity. This executive exodus contributed to accelerating the stock's decline and raised concerns about management's confidence in the company's near-term prospects. However, 2025 has brought a complete reversal of this trend. The most notable transaction came from director Jonathan Gray, who made a substantial bet on the company's future by purchasing 131,500 shares at $3.75 per share on May 21, representing a $493,112 investment. This significant single-day purchase at a fraction of the previous year's trading levels suggests strong conviction in the company's recovery potential. Director Erik Thoresen demonstrated similar confidence through consecutive buying over three days in late May, accumulating 5,000 shares between $3.47-3.75 per share. New CEO Edward Kovalik also put his money where his mouth is, purchasing 13,840 shares across two days in May for approximately $50,000, signaling management's renewed confidence in the company's direction. President Gary Hanna's May 27 purchase of 25,000 shares for $95,775 and EVP Gregory Patton's June 4 acquisition of 5,050 shares continued the buying momentum. Most symbolically, Bryan Freeman returned to the buy side on June 9, purchasing 5,000 shares at $3.99 – ironically buying back stock at roughly one-third the price he had sold it for just one year earlier. This insider buying spree coincides with Prairie Operating's ambitious expansion plans. The company announced a $600 million acquisition of DJ Basin assets from Bayswater Exploration earlier this year, representing a transformational deal that could significantly expand its production capacity and reserves. To finance this acquisition, Prairie conducted equity raises totaling $235 million in February and March, while also filing for a $500 million mixed shelf registration in April to maintain financial flexibility. The company's financial infrastructure has also been strengthened. In April, Prairie amended and restated its credit agreement with Citibank, securing a maximum credit commitment of $1 billion. June brought further enhancement with the addition of Bank of America and West Texas National Bank to the lending syndicate, providing additional financial partnership for future development projects and potential acquisitions. From a stock performance perspective, $PROP has experienced a dramatic journey. After trading above $13 in June 2024, shares declined to below $5 in January 2025 and currently hover around $4. This represents a 15% year-to-date decline and a 44% drop over the past year. However, recent insider buying activity suggests current levels may represent an attractive entry point for those betting on an energy sector recovery. The DJ Basin remains one of America's premier shale oil producing regions, benefiting from technological advances that continue to improve drilling efficiency and production economics. Prairie's large-scale asset acquisition strategy aims to achieve economies of scale while expanding production capacity in this proven hydrocarbon province. Nevertheless, investors must weigh several risk factors. Oil price volatility, rising shale production costs, and increasing environmental regulations continue to challenge the entire sector. Additionally, the debt burden from large acquisitions and share dilution from equity raises may pressure near-term financial metrics. Despite these challenges, the sustained insider buying represents a powerful vote of confidence from those closest to the company's operations and prospects. The fact that executives who sold at much higher prices are now buying back shares at significantly lower levels suggests they view current valuations as compelling. Such insider behavior reversals have historically served as leading indicators of potential stock price recoveries, making Prairie Operating a company worth watching for energy sector investors seeking turnaround opportunities.

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