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BRT

BRT Apartments ($BRT) Management Loads Up on Shares During Decline, Signals Bottom with 30% Upside Target

06/09/2025 20:40

Sentiment

C-Level

Summary

  • BRT Apartments Corp management engaged in concentrated buying during May price lows, sending strong bottom-fishing signals
  • Shares declined ~20% from $19 highs to $15 lows before recently recovering to $16 level, showing rebound signs
  • Analysts maintain average buy rating with $21 price target, implying 30% upside potential from current levels

POSITIVE

  • Management's concentrated buying at price lows signals strong bottom and demonstrates executive confidence
  • Q1 results beat expectations with 3% revenue growth and smaller-than-expected losses
  • High dividend yield of 6.25% supported by stable operating cash flow of $23.74 million
  • Analyst price target of $21 implies ~30% upside potential from current levels

NEGATIVE

  • High leverage at 244% debt-to-equity ratio raises concerns about interest rate sensitivity
  • Persistent net losses with $9.79 million deficit in 2024
  • Elevated payout ratio raises questions about dividend sustainability
  • Exposure to REIT sector's interest rate sensitivity and real estate market uncertainties

Expert

From a real estate sector perspective, BRT's concentrated management buying represents a highly significant signal. In the REIT industry, substantial insider purchases often indicate share price undervaluation relative to asset values. While high leverage remains concerning, stable operating cash flows and growth-region portfolio positioning provide positive fundamentals.

Previous Closing Price

$16.05

-0.22(1.35%)

Average Insider Trading Data Over the Past Year

$15.49

Purchase Average Price

$18.37

Sale Average Price

$2.63M

Purchase Amount

$1.28M

Sale Amount

Transaction related to News

Trading Date

Filing Date

Insider

Title

Type

Avg. Price

Trans. Value

06/12/2025

06/12/2025

Sale

$

$BRT (BRT Apartments Corp) has experienced significant volatility this year, with management's strategic buying activity drawing investor attention. The real estate investment trust (REIT) plummeted roughly 20% from November 2024 highs near $19 to May 2025 lows around $15, before recently recovering to the $16 level, showing signs of a potential rebound. The most notable development has been the concentrated insider buying that began in May when shares hit their lowest levels. According to SEC filings, President Jeffrey Gould, SVP Matthew Gould, and major shareholder entity Gould Investors L.P. engaged in systematic purchasing from May 12 through June 6. Their most aggressive buying occurred when shares traded in the $15.05-$15.45 range during mid-May. This wasn't sporadic buying but rather a methodical pattern, suggesting management views current price levels as significantly undervalued. The insider trading pattern reveals an interesting shift. While some executives sold shares in June and November 2024 when prices were relatively higher, the sentiment completely reversed following this year's decline, with management turning exclusively bullish. Notably, the same transactions appear under multiple names due to ownership structures, but this essentially represents coordinated large-scale buying by the Gould family interests. BRT Apartments Corp, founded in 1972, is a Maryland-based REIT specializing in multi-family residential properties, primarily operating garden-style apartment communities across the Southeastern United States and Texas. The company owns 29 properties across 11 states, managing approximately 7,947 residential units. Listed on the New York Stock Exchange, BRT has about 18.9 million shares outstanding. From a financial perspective, BRT exhibits typical REIT characteristics. While 2024 revenue reached $95.63 million, up modestly from the previous year, the company posted a net loss of $9.79 million. However, operating cash flow remained healthy at $23.74 million, indicating solid cash generation from core operations. The debt-to-equity ratio of 244% appears high but falls within acceptable REIT industry standards. Recent earnings results support management's confidence. First quarter 2025 revenue increased 3% year-over-year to $24.11 million, while the adjusted loss per share of 12 cents came in better than the expected 16-cent loss, beating analyst expectations. This provides fundamental backing for management's aggressive buying behavior. Analyst sentiment remains constructive, with an average 'buy' rating and median 12-month price target of $21, implying roughly 30% upside from current levels. This aligns with management's apparent assessment that shares are undervalued at present levels. From a dividend perspective, BRT offers appeal with an annual dividend of $1.00, yielding approximately 6.25% at current prices. While the payout ratio raises sustainability questions, steady operating cash flows provide reasonable support. Broader real estate market conditions warrant consideration, including Federal Reserve policy shifts, inflationary pressures, and housing market uncertainties affecting the REIT sector. However, BRT's focus on the Southeastern U.S. and Texas—regions experiencing population growth and economic expansion—provides a solid long-term demand foundation. Investment considerations for BRT hinge on interpreting management's strong buying signals and analyst optimism. While high leverage and persistent net losses present clear risks, stable operating cash flows, attractive dividend yields, and especially management's confident large-scale purchases suggest potential investment opportunities at current price levels.

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