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TPL

Texas Pacific Land ($TPL) Insiders' Unprecedented 11-Month Daily Buying Spree Captures Wall Street's Attention

06/03/2025 16:21

Sentiment

Serial Buy

Summary

  • Texas Pacific Land ($TPL) insiders have shown an unprecedented pattern of near-daily stock purchases over 11 months, led primarily by director Murray Stahl and Horizon Kinetics Asset Management.
  • The $29 billion market cap company operates a royalty-based business in the Permian Basin with zero debt and $460 million in cash, maintaining a robust financial structure.
  • Despite high valuations, consistent insider buying suggests strong confidence in future growth prospects, with water services expansion expected to be a key growth driver.

POSITIVE

  • 11 months of sustained insider buying indicates strong confidence in company prospects
  • Stable revenue base secured through 207,000 acres of Permian Basin royalty interests
  • Exceptional financial stability with zero debt and $460 million cash holdings
  • High profitability with 39.52% ROE and consistent dividend payments
  • New growth driver through water services business expansion

NEGATIVE

  • High valuation of 56.62x P/E limits near-term upside potential
  • Recent Q1 core earnings miss Wall Street estimates raising performance concerns
  • Mixed signals from insider trading with some executive selling
  • Energy sector supply increase concerns and oil price volatility risks
  • Large-cap volatility exposure shown by 4.6% decline on first S&P 500 trading day

Expert

From an energy sector perspective, TPL's royalty-based business model provides a unique position to benefit from Permian Basin production increases while avoiding direct drilling operational risks. Sustained insider buying reflects confidence in water services expansion and infrastructure development opportunities, with value recognition as essential infrastructure even in the energy transition era.

Previous Closing Price

$1.1K

+0.43(0.04%)

Average Insider Trading Data Over the Past Year

$1.15K

Purchase Average Price

$1.29K

Sale Average Price

$2.18M

Purchase Amount

$3.54M

Sale Amount

Transaction related to News

Trading Date

Filing Date

Insider

Title

Type

Avg. Price

Trans. Value

06/12/2025

06/12/2025

Sale

$

Insiders at Texas Pacific Land ($TPL) have been conducting an unprecedented pattern of near-daily stock purchases over the past 11 months, drawing significant attention from Wall Street. The large-cap energy company, with a market capitalization of $29 billion, has seen its stock price rise from $585 in June 2024 to around $1,110 as of June 2025, though experiencing extreme volatility along the way. Most notable is the buying behavior of company director Murray Stahl, who has been purchasing 10-12 shares almost every trading day from August 2024 through June 2025. His total purchases amount to several million dollars, with a significant portion executed under a 10b5-1 plan adopted on November 21, 2024. This demonstrates a strong commitment to buy regardless of stock price fluctuations according to a predetermined schedule. Horizon Kinetics Asset Management LLC, a major shareholder holding approximately 16% of TPL, has similarly maintained nearly daily purchases of 1-3 shares since June 2024. This consistent buying pattern from one of the largest shareholders indicates long-term conviction in the company's prospects. However, some executive selling has also occurred. CFO Chris Steddum sold 750 shares for approximately $970,000 in March, while CAO Stephanie Buffington disposed of 210 shares for about $290,000 in November. Nevertheless, these sales are relatively modest compared to the overall insider buying volume. TPL operates a unique royalty-based business model in the Permian Basin, America's largest oil-producing region. The company holds oil and gas royalty interests across approximately 207,000 acres and is expanding its water services business. Recent Q1 results showed revenue increased 13% year-over-year to approximately $196 million, with earnings per share rising from $4.97 to $5.25. Market conditions have been challenging. The U.S. energy sector experienced volatility in the first half of this year due to supply increase concerns, economic uncertainty, and Trump administration tariff policies. TPL faced particular pressure in May when it missed first-quarter core profit estimates. Despite market headwinds, TPL's financial health remains exceptional. The company carries zero debt, holds $460 million in cash, and boasts a return on equity of 39.52%. It pays a quarterly dividend of $1.60 per share (annualized $6.40) with a payout ratio of approximately 27.7%. TPL joined the S&P 500 index in November but fell 4.6% on its first day of trading, demonstrating the volatility typical of large-cap stocks. The company currently trades at a P/E ratio of 56.62x and forward P/E of 37.74x, representing premium valuations compared to typical oil and gas companies. Energy sector analysts are focusing on TPL's distinctive business model. The company can generate stable cash flows through royalty income without direct drilling operational risks while benefiting from increased production in the Permian Basin. The sustained insider buying suggests strong confidence in the company's growth prospects over the next 6-12 months. Expansion of water services operations and additional infrastructure development opportunities in the Permian Basin are expected to serve as key growth drivers. Investors view TPL as maintaining long-term investment value based on consistent insider buying behavior and solid financial structure, despite high valuations.

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