50

TPL

Insiders Show Conviction: Texas Pacific Land ($TPL) Directors Continue Steady Stock Purchases Despite Oil Price Headwinds

05/22/2025 14:55

Sentiment

Serial Buy

Summary

  • Director Murray Stahl and major shareholder Horizon Kinetics have been consistently purchasing Texas Pacific Land ($TPL) shares regardless of price fluctuations.
  • Q1 2025 results missed Wall Street estimates due to lower oil prices, though production levels increased.
  • TPL's unique land management and royalty-based business model has helped it join the S&P 500, while the company explores business diversification including data center leases.

POSITIVE

  • Consistent buying by insiders (Director Murray Stahl and major shareholder Horizon Kinetics) suggests strong conviction in the company's long-term prospects.
  • Royalty-based business model provides stable revenue less directly affected by commodity price volatility.
  • S&P 500 inclusion could lead to increased institutional investor interest and improved liquidity.
  • Efforts to diversify into non-traditional revenue sources such as data center leases are underway.
  • Production levels increased despite lower oil prices, demonstrating long-term growth potential.

NEGATIVE

  • Q1 2025 adjusted core profit missed Wall Street estimates.
  • Lower oil prices (7.5% decline) negatively impacted short-term results.
  • Some stock sales by executives (CAO, CFO, Officer) have been observed.
  • P/E ratio of 67.8 indicates a substantially higher valuation compared to energy sector averages.
  • Stock has declined approximately 20% from its November 2024 peak, indicating high short-term volatility.

Expert

Texas Pacific Land's land-based royalty model provides differentiated strength compared to traditional energy companies. The consistent insider buying is a positive signal, though current valuations are stretched. The diversification from traditional energy royalties to data center leases represents an attractive long-term strategy.

Previous Closing Price

$1.11K

-84.30(7.03%)

Average Insider Trading Data Over the Past Year

$1.14K

Purchase Average Price

$1.29K

Sale Average Price

$2.16M

Purchase Amount

$3.54M

Sale Amount

Transaction related to News

Trading Date

Filing Date

Insider

Title

Type

Avg. Price

Trans. Value

05/31/2025

05/31/2025

Sale

$

Major shareholders and directors at Texas Pacific Land Corp ($TPL) have been showing consistent buying patterns, with Board Member Murray Stahl's persistent accumulation standing out as particularly notable. Director Stahl has been steadily purchasing small quantities of stock almost daily throughout the past year. His buying remained consistent whether the stock was surging from around $580 in June 2024 to over $1,700 in November 2024, or pulling back to current levels around $1,355. He typically bought 10-12 shares at a time, with many purchases executed pursuant to a Rule 10b5-1 plan adopted on November 21, 2024. Horizon Kinetics Asset Management LLC, a major shareholder, has exhibited a similar buying pattern. Interestingly, Stahl serves as Chairman and CEO of Horizon Kinetics, which holds approximately 16% stake in $TPL, making it a significant institutional investor. Texas Pacific Land operates with a business model quite different from typical energy companies. As a land company owning approximately 900,000 surface acres and 207,000 net royalty acres, it doesn't directly produce oil or gas but instead collects royalty revenue. This characteristic provides a more stable business model that's less directly impacted by commodity price volatility. With a market capitalization of approximately $29 billion, $TPL achieved a significant milestone in November 2024 when it was added to the S&P 500 index. Interestingly, the stock declined 4.6% on its first day of trading in the S&P 500, though by that point, it had already gained over 300% year-to-date. Recent performance, however, has been somewhat mixed. In Q1 2025 results announced in May, net income increased 5.4% year-over-year to $120.7 million, but adjusted core profit of $169.4 million missed Wall Street's estimate of $180 million. This shortfall was attributed to a 7.5% decline in oil prices to $71.05 per barrel, though production levels increased. It's worth noting that there have been occasional small sales by executives. CAO Stephanie Buffington sold 210 shares on November 13, 2024, while CFO Chris Steddum sold 350 shares on November 14, 2024, and an additional 750 shares on March 14, 2025. Officer Micheal Dobbs also sold 1,150 shares on March 13, 2025. However, these sales appear to be isolated transactions rather than a sustained pattern. $TPL is also exploring diversification beyond traditional energy revenue. The company is investigating opportunities for data center leases on its extensive land holdings, which could provide additional growth opportunities as demand for digital infrastructure continues to increase. Considering all these factors, the consistent buying by Stahl and Horizon Kinetics suggests strong conviction in $TPL's long-term prospects. This is particularly notable given that oil price declines are impacting short-term results. These insider transaction patterns can provide important signals for investors. In the context of ongoing volatility in the energy sector, $TPL's differentiated business model and insiders' confidence may be interpreted as positive signals for long-term investors. However, given the current high valuation (P/E of approximately 67.8) and recent stock pullback, investors should be prepared for short-term volatility.

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