
MRP
Millrose Properties($MRP) Director Buys $211K Near 52-Week High, Following Pattern of Insider Conviction Amid Bullish Outlook
05/20/2025 19:08
Sentiment
Summary
- Millrose Properties director Matthew Gorson purchased $211,815 worth of stock on May 19, the latest in a pattern of insider buying this year
- The company recently raised its 2025 deal funding forecast from $1B to $1.5B and increased year-end EPS expectations to 69-71 cents
- Despite current losses (-$124.47M), MRP maintains financial stability with $89.52M cash and low debt ratio of 6.18%
- Shares trade near 52-week highs with YTD returns exceeding 33%
POSITIVE
- Consistent pattern of insider buying since early 2025, including Darren Richman's $5.96M purchase and Matthew Gorson's recent $211,815 investment
- 50% increase in 2025 deal funding forecast (from $1B to $1.5B) and raised year-end EPS run-rate expectations
- Strong cash position of $89.52M and very low debt-to-equity ratio of 6.18%
- Sustained share price momentum despite market volatility (>33% YTD returns)
- Innovative HOPP'R platform business model providing capital-efficient solutions for homebuilders
NEGATIVE
- Net loss of $124.47 million over trailing twelve months with loss per share of $0.90
- High valuation with P/S ratio of 57.61x (market cap of ~$4.76B versus $82.7M in revenue)
- Investment risk if company fails to deliver on positive outlook while currently unprofitable
- Shares trading near 52-week highs, potentially limiting short-term upside
Expert
Millrose Properties occupies a distinctive position in real estate capital markets. Their innovative approach through the HOPP'R platform creates a unique model that delivers value to both homebuilders and investors. The consistent pattern of insider buying signals strong management confidence, while recent outlook upgrades suggest accelerating growth momentum. However, current losses and high valuation multiples place pressure on the company to improve profitability in the near term.
Previous Closing Price
$27.87
-0.01(0.04%)
Average Insider Trading Data Over the Past Year
$23.02
Purchase Average Price
$0
Sale Average Price
$7.25M
Purchase Amount
$0
Sale Amount
Transaction related to News
Trading Date | Filing Date | Insider | Title | Type | Avg. Price | Trans. Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05/31/2025 | 05/31/2025 | Sale | $ |
Millrose Properties director Matthew Gorson has purchased $211,815 worth of stock as shares trade near their 52-week high, regulatory filings show. Gorson acquired 7,500 shares at $28.24 per share on May 19, the latest in a pattern of consistent insider buying at the company this year. This purchase comes just five days after MRP raised its 2025 deal funding forecast from $1 billion to $1.5 billion and increased its year-end EPS run-rate expectation to 69-71 cents. Following this positive outlook announcement, MRP shares rose 5% and closed at $28.70 on May 19, marking over 33% returns year-to-date. Millrose Properties has witnessed a notable pattern of insider purchases since early 2025. Most prominently, officer Darren Richman acquired a substantial 265,000 shares worth approximately $5.96 million in just two days during mid-February, while COO Robert Nitkin and director Carlos Migoya also made significant purchases during this period. About a month after this cluster of buying, MRP shares surged more than 20%, climbing from the $21 range to over $26. Director Carlos Migoya demonstrated particular conviction, purchasing shares on three separate occasions from February through March, while other officers including Garett Rosenblum and Rachel Presa joined the buying activity in March. This consistent insider accumulation signals strong confidence from management in the company's future. Investors should note that these insider purchases are occurring despite MRP's current profitability challenges. Financial data shows MRP reported $82.7 million in revenue with a net loss of $124.47 million over the trailing twelve months, representing a loss per share of $0.90. Nevertheless, the company maintains financial stability with $89.52 million in cash and a very low debt-to-equity ratio of just 6.18%. Millrose Properties operates an innovative residential real estate investment platform branded as the Homesite Option Purchase Platform ("HOPP'R"), providing homebuilders with a capital-efficient method to manage land positions. This business model helps homebuilders accelerate growth while efficiently using capital, while offering investors access to income-generating residential real estate investments typically reserved for institutional players. MRP's share price has maintained its strength despite market uncertainty stemming from growing government debt and Moody's downgrade of the U.S. credit rating from Aaa to Aa1. While U.S. markets showed weakness in mid-May, MRP continued its upward momentum, reflecting strong investor confidence in the company's business model and growth prospects. Market analysts note that while MRP currently trades at over 57 times sales, reflecting high growth expectations, it trades at just 0.81 times book value, suggesting potential undervaluation relative to its net asset value. This may indicate that the potential value of the company's real estate assets isn't fully reflected in the current share price. According to LSEG data, the two brokerages covering MRP both rate it a 'buy' or higher, with a median price target of $29, suggesting modest upside from current levels. Combined with the consistent insider buying, this indicates that the company's long-term growth story remains compelling despite near-term profitability issues. Potential investors should consider that while MRP's innovative business model and low leverage provide a solid foundation for future growth, current negative earnings and high valuation multiples present near-term risk factors. The strong insider buying signal is positive, but it remains important to watch whether the company can actually deliver on its projected growth. The recent insider purchases and positive outlook revisions suggest MRP is moving in the right direction, but investors would be wise to approach cautiously until evidence of improving results materializes.