53

SHOO

Steven Madden($SHOO) Directors Signal Strong Confidence With Cluster Buying After 60% Stock Plunge

05/13/2025 20:51

Sentiment

Summary

  • Two directors of Steven Madden Ltd ($SHOO), Al Ferrara and Mitchell Klipper, each purchased 4,000 shares, sending a strong signal of confidence after the stock's 60% decline.
  • The company is building momentum with its Kurt Geiger acquisition and better-than-expected Q1 results, but faces challenges in supply chain reorganization due to Trump's tariff policies.
  • The insider cluster buying suggests management's conviction that the current stock price is undervalued relative to the company's long-term value.

POSITIVE

  • A positive 'cluster buying' signal emerged with two directors making substantial purchases on the same day.
  • Q1 adjusted EPS of 60 cents significantly exceeded analyst expectations of 45 cents.
  • The Kurt Geiger acquisition strengthens international market position and diversifies the portfolio.
  • The stock is in early stages of recovery after declining approximately 60% from its October 2024 peak.
  • Management is actively pursuing supply chain diversification to reduce dependence on China.

NEGATIVE

  • High tariff policies on Chinese imports under the Trump administration could burden the company's cost structure.
  • Supply chain reorganization poses risks of increased operational costs and production disruptions in the short term.
  • Consumer spending reductions due to recession concerns could negatively impact the fashion and footwear industry.
  • The company withdrew its 2025 financial guidance citing tariff-related uncertainties.
  • The annual EPS guidance of $2.30-$2.40 announced in February was below analyst expectations of $2.58.

Expert

The fashion footwear industry faces a pivotal supply chain transition test for brands like Steven Madden. The Kurt Geiger acquisition represents an excellent strategic move for geographic diversification and premium market entry, but execution of reduced China dependency will be the critical challenge over the next 12-18 months. Insider buying signals confidence that the long-term value proposition remains solid despite these challenges.

Previous Closing Price

$24.65

-0.72(2.84%)

Average Insider Trading Data Over the Past Year

$25.83

Purchase Average Price

$42.29

Sale Average Price

$206.67K

Purchase Amount

$1.13M

Sale Amount

Transaction related to News

Trading Date

Filing Date

Insider

Title

Type

Avg. Price

Trans. Value

05/31/2025

05/31/2025

Sale

$

In a significant show of confidence, two board directors of Steven Madden Ltd ($SHOO) have stepped up with substantial share purchases as the footwear and fashion accessories brand grapples with a dramatic stock decline. Directors Al Ferrara and Mitchell Klipper each acquired 4,000 shares on May 12, signaling their belief in the company's underlying value despite recent challenges. These insider purchases come after $SHOO's stock plummeted approximately 60% from its October 2024 high of $49 to its April 2025 low of $19.54. Ferrara invested approximately $104,235 at an average price of $26.06 per share, while Klipper committed about $102,438 at $25.61 per share. These transactions mark the first significant insider buying in nearly a year and form a notable 'cluster purchase' pattern that typically carries more weight with market observers. Interestingly, on the same day, another director, Peter Davis, sold 2,200 shares at $26.13 per share, generating proceeds of about $57,489. However, Davis had already sold 933 shares in March 2025, suggesting his transactions may be driven by personal financial planning rather than company outlook. Steven Madden, founded in 1990, has established itself as a global footwear and fashion accessories brand, offering a diverse range of products from casual shoes, boots, and sandals to handbags and apparel. The company recently made a strategic move to strengthen its international presence by acquiring British premium footwear brand Kurt Geiger for £289 million (approximately $370 million). However, the company faces significant headwinds from President Donald Trump's high-tariff policies on Chinese imports. In November, executives revealed that approximately 40-45% of their goods are sourced from China and announced plans to shift production to countries like Cambodia, Vietnam, Mexico, and Brazil. While this supply chain reorganization may increase operational costs in the short term, it could reduce geographic concentration risk over the longer term. Despite the stock's downward trajectory, $SHOO reported impressive first-quarter results on May 7, with adjusted earnings per share of 60 cents significantly exceeding analyst expectations of 45 cents. This positive surprise drove the stock up 14% in a single day. However, the company withdrew its full-year 2025 financial guidance citing tariff-related uncertainties. Examining insider trading patterns shows that from June 2024 through March 2025, selling predominated among directors and officers. In June 2024, Officer Karla Frieders sold 10,000 shares at $44.91, and in September 2024, Director Maria Teresa Kumar sold 8,646 shares at $43.99. These sales may have reflected executives' belief that the stock, then trading in the $40-$45 range, was fully valued. However, the recent cluster purchase suggests that insiders now see value at current price levels. The timing is particularly notable, coming shortly after both the completion of the Kurt Geiger acquisition and the positive first-quarter earnings announcement. From a financial perspective, Steven Madden maintains a relatively solid financial structure. In February, the company provided 2025 EPS guidance of $2.30-$2.40, below analyst expectations of $2.58. However, the strong first-quarter performance in May demonstrates the company's underlying strength. Steven Madden currently faces cost pressures related to its production exposure in China and Mexico, as well as challenges in supply chain reorganization. These factors have contributed to the stock's 53% year-to-date decline. However, the substantial purchases by two directors can be interpreted as a signal of confidence in the company's long-term prospects despite these short-term difficulties. The stock closed at $26.41 on May 12, representing a rebound of approximately 35% from its April lows. This suggests that the strong earnings report and insider buying are positively influencing market sentiment. Nevertheless, investors should closely monitor the scope and timing of new tariff policies on Chinese imports and Steven Madden's progress in diversifying its supply chain. Global fashion industry analysts view Steven Madden's strong brand recognition and portfolio expansion through the Kurt Geiger acquisition positively, while cautioning about the potential for reduced consumer spending amid tariff increases and recession concerns. Nonetheless, the recent cluster buying indicates that directors believe the currently depressed share price presents a long-term buying opportunity.

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