57

LSAK

Lesaka Technologies ($LSAK) Executive Snaps Up 64,000 Shares Near Price Lows - Bullish Signal for South African Fintech's Growth?

03/27/2025 20:10

Sentiment

Serial Buy

Summary

  • Lesaka Technologies ($LSAK) officer Ali Mazanderani purchased 64,002 shares (~$310,000) in March, with buying occurring near price lows, suggesting internal confidence
  • This contrasts with Director Christopher Meyer's sale of 106,217 shares (~$496,000) in mid-2024
  • The company announced a $28 million Recharger acquisition in November 2024 and provided improved profitability guidance for FY2026
  • As a South Africa-based fintech, Lesaka currently operates at a loss despite revenue growth, with a high forward P/E of 97.10 reflecting significant growth expectations

POSITIVE

  • Significant insider buying by a senior executive (64,002 shares during March 21-26) concentrated at relative price lows
  • Business diversification through the Recharger acquisition, expanding into prepaid electricity payment services
  • Provided FY2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance of 1.25-1.45 billion ZAR, establishing a roadmap for long-term profitability improvement
  • High growth potential as a financial services provider targeting underserved populations in emerging South African markets

NEGATIVE

  • Continuing net loss of $44.12 million on a TTM basis, with uncertain timeline to profitability
  • High forward P/E of 97.10 may reflect excessive expectations for future growth
  • Large insider selling by a director in mid-2024 (106,217 shares) partially related to failure to meet stock price targets
  • Economic and political instability in South African markets could pose business risks

Expert

The recent insider buying at Lesaka Technologies is noteworthy for its strategic timing near price lows. Combined with the expansion strategy through the Recharger acquisition in the South African fintech market, it suggests long-term growth potential. However, continued net losses and a high forward P/E ratio may pose near-term investment risks.

Previous Closing Price

$4.24

+0.10(2.29%)

Average Insider Trading Data Over the Past Year

$4.97

Purchase Average Price

$4.67

Sale Average Price

$638.91K

Purchase Amount

$496.32K

Sale Amount

Transaction related to News

Trading Date

Filing Date

Insider

Title

Type

Avg. Price

Trans. Value

05/31/2025

05/31/2025

Sale

$

A senior executive at South African-based fintech company Lesaka Technologies ($LSAK) has recently acquired over 64,000 shares within a span of about four weeks. This significant insider buying contrasts with last year's substantial selling by a director, potentially signaling internal confidence in the company's future growth trajectory. Ali Mazanderani, an officer at Lesaka, purchased a total of 64,002 shares worth approximately $310,000 between March 21 and March 26, 2025. Notably, on March 26 alone, he acquired 33,296 shares (valued at about $164,000) at an average price of $4.94. According to SEC filings, these transactions occurred at prices ranging from $4.68 to $5.00. The timing of these purchases is particularly noteworthy as they occurred when Lesaka's stock was trading at relatively low levels after falling from its November 2024 peak of $5.55. The share price, which had declined to as low as $4.44 on March 14, 2025, has since recovered to $5.01 (as of March 26, 2025) following Mazanderani's buying activity. This insider buying stands in stark contrast to the significant selling by Director Christopher GB Meyer last year. Between June 21 and June 28, 2024, Meyer sold a total of 106,217 shares worth approximately $496,000. Those sales were partially related to the forfeiture of restricted stock granted in July 2021 that failed to meet stock price target vesting conditions. Lesaka Technologies provides financial services and software to underserved consumers and merchants in Southern Africa, with primary listing on NASDAQ (LSAK) and secondary listing on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (LSK). The company announced in November 2024 the acquisition of Recharger, a prepaid electricity submetering and payments business, in a deal valued at approximately $28 million (507 million ZAR), paid through a combination of cash (332 million ZAR) and stock (175 million ZAR). Despite revenue growth, the company continues to face profitability challenges. With a market capitalization of approximately $377 million, Lesaka reported TTM revenue of $576.6 million but a net loss of $44.12 million (EPS of -$0.67). The most recent quarter showed revenue of $222.6 million and gross profit of $54.29 million. Significantly, on February 6, 2025, the company reaffirmed its FY2025 guidance and provided new profitability guidance for FY2026. Revenue for FY2025 is projected between 10.0 billion and 11.0 billion ZAR, while adjusted EBITDA for FY2026 is expected to range between 1.25 billion and 1.45 billion ZAR, suggesting a focus on long-term profitability improvement. The recent insider buying comes at a time when Lesaka's stock trades at a forward P/E of 97.10, indicating that the market is placing a substantial premium on the company's future growth. Ali Mazanderani's significant share purchases could be interpreted as a signal of internal confidence in this growth outlook. Digital payments and financial services in emerging markets like South Africa are considered high-growth potential areas, and Lesaka appears to be strengthening its position in this market through strategic expansions such as the Recharger acquisition. The insider share purchases likely reflect confidence in this strategic direction. However, investors should approach with caution, considering the company's ongoing net losses and high forward P/E ratio. Whether Lesaka's growth strategy will translate into improved profitability, and whether the timing will meet market expectations, remain key variables that will influence the stock's future direction.

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